EC São Bernardo v Francana: the model read
EC São Bernardo meet Francana in the Paulista - A3 1st phase - 2 at Estádio Primeiro de Maio, São Bernardo do Campo, São Paulo. The model makes EC São Bernardo the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% EC , 31% draw, 26% FRA.
EC São Bernardo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans EC São Bernardo, 55% against 33%. Attacking output favors EC São Bernardo on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans EC São Bernardo at 63%; double chance reads EC São Bernardo or draw 74%, Francana or draw 57%.
EC São Bernardo arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Santo André, L 0-2 @ Marília, W 2-0 v Marília, D 2-2 @ União São João.
Francana are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Marília, W 3-0 v Rio Claro, L 1-2 @ União São João, L 0-1 @ Portuguesa Santista.
EC São Bernardo hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Francana 0-2 EC São Bernardo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
