Tupynambás v Poços de Caldas: the model read
Tupynambás meet Poços de Caldas in the Mineiro - 3 1st phase - 10 at Estádio Municipal Radialista Mário Helênio, Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais. The model makes Tupynambás the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 50% TUP, 27% draw, 22% POÇ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tupynambás, 50% against 30%. Attacking output favors Tupynambás on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Tupynambás at 69%; double chance reads Tupynambás or draw 78%, Poços de Caldas or draw 50%.
Tupynambás arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Uberaba, L 0-1 @ Uberaba, D 1-1 v Contagem, D 0-0 @ Contagem.
Poços de Caldas are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Tupynambás, W 3-0 v Tres Coracoes, D 1-1 v Inter de Minas, L 0-2 @ Villa Real.
Tupynambás hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Tupynambás 3-2 Poços de Caldas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
