Phare du Canal v Cambrefort: the model read
Phare du Canal meet Cambrefort in the Division d'Honneur regular season - 15 at Stade Municipal, Petit-Canal. The model makes Phare du Canal the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% PHA, 33% draw, 25% CAM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Phare du Canal, 21% against 0%. Attacking output favors Phare du Canal on expected goals, 0.7 to 0.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 14%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Phare du Canal at 62%; double chance reads Phare du Canal or draw 75%, Cambrefort or draw 58%.
Phare du Canal arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Gourbeyre, L 0-3 v Sporting Baie-Mahault, W 1-0 @ CERFA, L 0-4 v Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau.
Cambrefort are out of sorts: 0W-0D-3L from their last five (0/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 0 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Gosier, L 0-3 @ USBM, L 0-3 v Moulien.
Phare du Canal hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Cambrefort 0-3 Phare du Canal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
