Akragas v Licata: the model read
Akragas meet Licata in the Serie D - Girone I group i - 28 at Stadio Esseneto, Agrigento. The model makes Licata the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 26% AKR, 32% draw, 42% LIC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Licata, 32% against 15%. Attacking output favors Licata on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Licata at 61%; double chance reads Akragas or draw 58%, Licata or draw 74%.
Akragas arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Reggina, D 0-0 v Acireale, L 0-3 @ Ragusa, L 1-2 v Città Di Sant’Agata.
Licata are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ CastrumFavara, L 2-3 @ Nissa, W 3-0 v Pompei, L 0-1 @ Sambiase.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Licata 1-1 Akragas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
