Atlético Arsenal v Litoral: the model read
Atlético Arsenal meet Litoral in the Copa Uruguay 1st preliminary round at Estadio Ernesto Dickinson, Salto. The model makes Litoral the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 28% ATL, 33% draw, 39% LIT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Litoral, 50% against 25%. Attacking output favors Litoral on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Litoral at 59%; double chance reads Atlético Arsenal or draw 61%, Litoral or draw 72%.
Atlético Arsenal arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-1L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Oriental, D 1-1 v Litoral.
Litoral are patchy: 1W-2D-1L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Plaza Colonia, W 3-2 @ Universitario de Salto, D 1-1 @ Atlético Arsenal, D 1-1 @ Bella Vista de Paysandú.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2024: Atlético Arsenal 1-1 Litoral.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output