Ferrières v Herstal: the model read
Ferrières meet Herstal in the Provincial - Liege liège - 16 at Pré Du Fa, 6 Terrain 1, Ferrieres. The model makes Herstal the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 20% FER, 28% draw, 52% HER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Herstal, 33% against 0%. Attacking output favors Herstal on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 18%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Herstal at 73%; double chance reads Ferrières or draw 48%, Herstal or draw 80%.
Ferrières arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-1L from their last five (0/15 pts), 0 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Etoile de Faimes.
Herstal are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Wanze / Bas-Oha, L 0-1 @ Sart-Lez-Spa, L 1-3 v Espoir Minerois, L 1-2 @ Malmundaria.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output