Chamalières v Espaly-Saint-Marcel: the model read
Chamalières meet Espaly-Saint-Marcel in the National 3 - Group I group i - 26 at Complexe Sportif Claude Wolff, Chamalières. The model makes Chamalières the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% CHA, 32% draw, 32% ESP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 43%. Attacking output favors Chamalières on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Chamalières at 52%; double chance reads Chamalières or draw 68%, Espaly-Saint-Marcel or draw 65%.
Chamalières arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Vierzon FC, D 1-1 @ Dijon II, L 1-3 v Romorantin, L 1-2 @ Feurs.
Espaly-Saint-Marcel are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Chamalières, D 2-2 v Hauts Lyonnais, D 1-1 @ Bourgoin-Jallieu, D 0-0 v Chambéry.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Chamalières 2-0 Espaly-Saint-Marcel.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
