Gueugnon v Troyes II: the model read
Gueugnon meet Troyes II in the National 3 - Group G group g - 16 at Stade Jean Laville, Gueugnon. The model makes Troyes II the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 21% GUE, 27% draw, 52% TRO.
Troyes II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Troyes II, 60% against 25%. Attacking output favors Troyes II on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Troyes II at 72%; double chance reads Gueugnon or draw 48%, Troyes II or draw 79%.
Gueugnon arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Louhans-Cuiseaux, W 3-1 v Montceau, D 1-1 v St Maur Lusitanos, D 1-1 @ Racing Colombes 92.
Troyes II are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Besançon, W 5-0 v Mulhouse, L 1-2 @ Torcy, D 2-2 v Thonon Évian.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Gueugnon 0-3 Troyes II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
