União de Coimbra v Arronches e Benfica: the model read
União de Coimbra meet Arronches e Benfica in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C group c - 21 at Estádio Municipal Sérgio Conceição, Coimbra. The model makes Arronches e Benfica the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 23% UNI, 33% draw, 44% ARR.
Arronches e Benfica rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans Arronches e Benfica, 63% against 33%. Attacking output favors União de Coimbra on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Arronches e Benfica at 66%; double chance reads União de Coimbra or draw 56%, Arronches e Benfica or draw 77%.
União de Coimbra arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Peniche, L 0-2 v Benfica Castelo Branco, W 1-0 @ Alcains, D 1-1 v Os Marialvas.
Arronches e Benfica are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v O Elvas, L 0-1 @ Fátima, W 2-1 v Pêro Pinheiro, L 0-2 @ FC Alverca II.
Arronches e Benfica hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: União de Coimbra 0-2 Arronches e Benfica.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
