Spal v Arezzo: the model read
Spal meet Arezzo in the Serie C - Girone B girone b - 30 at Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara. The model makes Arezzo the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 27% SPA, 31% draw, 42% ARE.
Arezzo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1408. Recent form leans Arezzo, 57% against 38%. Attacking output favors Arezzo on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Arezzo at 61%; double chance reads Spal or draw 58%, Arezzo or draw 73%.
Spal arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Milan II, L 0-1 @ Milan II, W 3-0 v Gubbio, D 1-1 @ Vis Pesaro.
Arezzo are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Albinoleffe, L 2-3 @ Atalanta, D 1-1 v Folgore Caratese, W 3-1 @ Napoli.
Arezzo hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Spal 0-2 Arezzo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
