Lobos Buap v Cruz Azul: the model read
Lobos Buap meet Cruz Azul in the Liga MX clausura - 16 at Estadio Universitario BUAP, Puebla. The model makes Cruz Azul the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 26% LOB, 28% draw, 46% CRU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cruz Azul, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Cruz Azul on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans Cruz Azul at 64%; double chance reads Lobos Buap or draw 54%, Cruz Azul or draw 74%.
Lobos Buap arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Toluca, L 1-4 v Cruz Azul, W 2-1 @ Club Tijuana, L 0-3 v Tigres UANL.
Cruz Azul are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Puebla, W 3-2 @ Atletico San Luis, D 3-3 @ Monarcas, W 2-1 @ U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Cruz Azul hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Lobos Buap 1-4 Cruz Azul.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
