Sporting Alexandria v Tersana: the model read
Sporting Alexandria meet Tersana in the Second League - Play-offs promotion play-offs - 4 at Haras El Hodoud Stadium, Alexandria. The model makes Tersana the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 27% SPO, 35% draw, 38% TER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tersana, 48% against 33%. Attacking output favors Tersana on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans Tersana at 58%; double chance reads Sporting Alexandria or draw 62%, Tersana or draw 73%.
Sporting Alexandria arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Itesalat, D 2-2 v Proxy, L 0-1 @ El Dakhleya, D 2-2 v Olympic El Qanah.
Tersana are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ El Entag EL Harby, D 0-0 v Abu Qair Semad, D 2-2 @ Tanta SC, W 3-1 v Asyut Petrol.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Tersana 1-2 Sporting Alexandria.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output