Tersana beat Sporting Alexandria 3-0 at Mit Okba Stadium to take a commanding lead in the third round of the Second League promotion play-offs. The result was decided by a first-half penalty and two late goals, giving Tersana a clear advantage despite a closely-fought contest that was projected as a tight affair by the Lemeister model. The model had given Tersana a 38 per cent chance of victory, with a projected 1-0 scoreline, meaning the final margin exceeded expectations.
A. Otto opened the scoring from the penalty spot in the 41st minute, giving Tersana the lead just before half-time. The goal was the only one of the first period, and it came without an assist, reflecting a moment of individual responsibility from the penalty taker. Sporting Alexandria were unable to find a response before the interval, and the single-goal lead meant the game remained in the balance entering the second half.
Tersana extended their advantage in the 85th minute through M. Al Attar, who scored a normal goal to double the lead. The timing was significant, arriving when Sporting Alexandria were likely pushing forward in search of an equaliser, leaving gaps at the back. The goal effectively sealed the contest, with Tersana then adding a third in second-half stoppage time. M. Toba netted in the 94th minute, also a normal goal without an assist, to complete the scoring.
The match featured no cards and no substitutions, indicating a disciplined contest from both sides. The absence of bookings suggests the game was played in a controlled manner, with neither team resorting to heavy fouls or tactical infringements. The lack of substitutions is notable, implying that both managers largely trusted their starting line-ups for the full duration.
The statistics for the match are not available in the data, which limits deeper analysis of possession, shots, and expected goals. However, the goals themselves tell a clear story: Tersana were clinical when it mattered, converting three of their opportunities, while Sporting Alexandria failed to score despite presumably having their own chances. The clean sheet suggests Tersana’s defensive organisation was effective, containing the visitors’ attack.
The ratings for individual players are also absent from the data, so specific standout performances cannot be assessed beyond the goalscorers. A. Otto, M. Al Attar, and M. Toba were the decisive names on the scoresheet, each contributing a goal. Otto’s early penalty set the tone, Al Attar’s second-half strike broke the resistance, and Toba’s stoppage-time effort added gloss to the scoreline.
This result places Tersana in a strong position in the promotion play-off tie. With a three-goal advantage from the first leg, they hold a commanding lead heading into the second match. Sporting Alexandria face a significant task to overturn the deficit and keep their promotion hopes alive. The clean sheet means the visitors must score at least three times to force extra time, and four to win outright, making Tersana firm favourites to progress. The Lemeister model’s pre-match projection of a narrow Tersana win proved conservative, as the home side delivered a dominant performance that has left them one step closer to promotion.
